Post by loser on Jun 7, 2013 13:19:59 GMT -7
For stuff like this....
Looks like the Storm Prediction Center in Norman OKLAHOMA is likely to issue a severe thunderstorm watch box for a large portion of our area later. Discussion below
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0991
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT FRI JUN 07 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...LARGE PART OF SRN-ERN NM / FAR W TX AND WRN TX PANHANDLE / FAR SRN CO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 071943Z - 072045Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...AN ISOLD SEVERE WIND GUST/LARGE HAIL THREAT WILL DEVELOP/INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL SMALLER CLUSTERS OF STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE NM/CO SANGRE DE CRISTOS AND FARTHER S OVER THE SACRAMENTO MTNS AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OVER SWRN
NM.
ADEQUATE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AHEAD OF A SSEWD MOVING SRN CO SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE...ARE PROVING MORE FAVORABLE FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND ADJACENT SRN HIGH PLAINS. THROUGH THE MID-AFTERNOON...STORMS WILL INITIALLY BE LOCATED INVOF AND IMMEDIATELY SE OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN...BUT MEAN
WIND VECTORS FROM THE NW AT 20 KT WILL PROMOTE STORMS TO MOVE SEWD INTO THE PLAINS.
A GAP IN STORMS WILL LIKELY EXIST ACROSS CNTRL
NM...BEFORE EVENTUALLY STORMS MOVE INTO E-CNTRL NM BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. SURFACE HEATING CONTINUES TO STEEPEN LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND WILL AT LEAST SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY FOR MICROBURSTS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. STRONGLY VEERING FLOW
PROFILES /KHDX VWP/ WILL AID IN SOME STORM ORGANIZATION...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF ISOLD-SCTD MULTICELLS --CAPABLE OF ISOLD SEVERE WIND
GUSTS/LARGE HAIL WITH THE STRONGER CORES.
..SMITH/CORFIDI.. 06/07/2013